The cost of retaining 4 players would be 4.5 million dollars. Let’s look at the current cost of the players Delhi would want to retain. These are the names most of the fans also want.
Virender Sehwag – 833,750
Gautam Gambhir – 725,000
Amit Mishra – NA
Ashish Nehra – NA
Dinesh Karthik – 525,000
Dirk Nannes – NA
AB de Villiers – 300,000
Daniel Vettori – 625,000
The salary will go up from 6 million for the last 3 editions to 10 million for IPL 4. It will be reasonable to assume that the cost of the most wanted players would almost double. The likes of Tendulkar, Pollard, Dhoni, Symonds and Shane Watson would fall in this category. They can become the franchise player around which the team can be built.
Unfortunately, none of the players in the current Delhi squad falls in this category. And that is true for Virender Sehwag as well. His record in the IPL and other twenty-20 cricket isn’t that awe inspiring. That is why the squad retention formula is unfair for teams like Delhi who don’t have any super expensive players and boon for the likes of CSK and MI.
Delhi has a number of middle rung players whose value will appreciate by roughly 50 %. Therefore, retention will only make sense for Delhi if they had 4 players whose current cost was around 3 million and they were the incumbents Delhi wanted to hold on to. I cannot identify 4 such players.
One needs to analyze whether the same players will cost more or less in the IPL auction.
By not retaining anyone, Delhi will have the largest kitty to play around with in the auction and that will come in handy when we go after the match-winners that we lacked in the last 3 editions.
There is another reason why Delhi should rebuild (by not retaining anyone).
Delhi had one of the finest sides in the last 3 editions and was always near the top but they always faltered in the critical games. They lost two semi-finals and winner takes all game in the third season. Would you rather stick with the same guys and continue be just good or change the backbone and the DNA of the side and go for the jugular. I would prefer the latter.
This changed philosophy will be implemented by getting at least a couple of the big time stars – match winners who will win us the games we have always ended up losing. This will not be easy. Such players are few and most of them are already part of other teams – and as such will not be available for bidding. But a few of them will be and Delhi will have to go after them aggressively. And this is where the extra 4.5 million will come in handy.
But there is an alternate argument as well.
There is only a limited pool of quality Indian players. If every other team retains 3 Indian players, then 21 of them would be gone by the time the auction begins. There will be a big fight for the remaining Indian players. That would shoot up the value of the likes of Sehwag and Gambhir and Delhi’s strategy of not retaining anyone would rebound on them. Delhi would either end up paying more for Indian players and not have the top class foreigners or get their match- winners but struggle to fill the 7 spots for Indian players. Either way it will be disaster.
But is this likely to happen?
Or will teams suffer from the same dilemma as the Daredevils and take a chance in the auction. Let’s try and predict the strategy of the other sides and get a sense of the top Indian players who would be available for auction. That will tell us how risky it will be for Delhi to retain no one and go all out in the auction.
Players in bracket are the ones we assume they will retain. We are also assuming that by the time the season begins, somehow KXP and RR will be back in the fray. If they are not, then even better – all their players would be available.
MI (Sachin, Harbhajan and Zaheer and Pollard/Malinga) – Abhishek Nayar, Saurabh Tiwary, Ambati Rayudu, Shikhar Dhawan, R Sathish and Dhawal Kulkarni.
CSK (Dhoni, Raina, Badrinath or Ashwin or Murali Vijay) – At least 2 out of Badrinath, Ashwin and Vijay, Parthiv Patel, Balaji, Gony, Shadab Jakati and Sudeep Tyagi.
KXP – This is another team which will find it difficult to identify 3 Indians and one foreigner who are worth 4.5 million and as a result everyone will be available. Yuvraj, Chawla, Sreesanth, Irfan Pathan, Ramesh Powar and VRV Singh.
KKR – They are in the same boat as KXP- Ganguly, Ishant, Dinda, Jaidev Unadkat, Manoj Tiwary, Wridhiman Saha, Murali Karthik and Agarkar
DC (They could consider retaining Rohit Sharma, Pragyan Ojha, RP Singh and Andrew Symonds. This is a quartet worth 4.5 million. Their international form might be patchy but they have been superb in the IPL) – T Suman, VVS Laxman and Harmeet Singh.
RR (Could possibly go with Yusuf Pathan, Ravindra Jadeja, Naman Ojha and Warne or Watson. This is a money conscious side which doesn’t prefer to get into a bidding game) – Munaf Patel and Siddhartha Trivedi.
DD – Sehwag, Umesh Yadav, Gambhir, Dinesh Karthik, Ashish Nehra, Amit Mishra, Pradeep Sangwan and Rajat Bhatia.
RCB ( Could go with Anil Kumble, Virat Kohli, Manish Pandey or Robin Uthappa and KP or Kallis or Ross Taylor) – Manish Pandey or Robin Uthappa, Dravid, Vinay Kumar, Pankaj Singh and Abhimanyu Mithun
There are around 45 players available and that is the minimum number required to just fill the quota of 7 Indians in the playing eleven for each team. As a result, the bidding will be intense and major money will be thrown around for the Indians.
Delhi could still make this work – provided they play the auction well and do their scouting well.
They have done both well in the past. They had one of the strongest and deepest sides in the last 3 editions and managed to do that without overpaying for anyone. They got bargains for both Indians and foreign players. Case in point being the likes of Gambhir, Karthik, Collingwood, Mohd Asif and McGrath.
They also unearthed unknown or less well-known players who served them well. Umesh Yadav, Pradeep Sangwan, David Warner and Dirk Nannes fall in this category.
A repeat performance will ensure that Delhi can bid aggressively for the big guns and fill the rest of the squad with bargains and new talent. This was the route taken by the Chargers in season 2 and 3.
Delhi has their destiny in their own hands. They can either play safe or take a riskier approach to build a stronger side. And depending on that, they can decide whether to retain 4 players or go all out in the IPL player auction.
Gautam Gambhir needs to stop making excuses and start delivering as a captain
Gautam Gambhir has made all kinds of excuses for his side’s mediocre performance in IPL3. Most recently he blamed the Kotla pitch for the Daredevils’ collapse against Punjab. This came after a run of home wins on the same Kotla pitch had propelled Delhi into a comfortable position in the points table. After those home victories, Gambhir had raved about knowing his home conditions well. He said after the win over KKR, “We know how to play on such a track, it’s difficult for a new team to adjust to this pitch.” Therefore, his sudden volte-face on the Kotla pitch was clearly nothing more than a poorly disguised attempt at hiding his team’s shortcomings. And now that Delhi have lost away from home, their captain’s Kotla excuse looks lamer still. Worse for Gambhir, the Mumbai defeat once again exposed his shortcomings as a tactician and a leader. It’s high time he stopped looking for excuses and started shouldering more responsibility.
Delhi’s match against Mumbai was very crucial and they needed to be on top of their game. Batting collapses had robbed Delhi of a chance to win two eminently winnable games against KKR and KXP. They needed to strengthen their batting and they did so by bringing in AB de Villiers to replace Mithun Manhas but unnecessarily messed around with their bowling attack. While bringing in Andrew McDonald in place of Farvez Maharoof was justifiable, Saurabh Ladda’s inclusion defied any kind of logic. He had been Delhi’s worst bowler in the tournament and lacked the pedigree for such a high- stakes encounter. Moreover, it didn’t make sense to play a second specialist leg spinner when Amit Mishra was already in the eleven. If Delhi felt that they needed a second spinner, they should have just stuck with Daniel Vettori.
While Ladda’s inclusion can be partly blamed on the team management, Gambhir was fully responsible for his poor utilization. The rookie was brought on to bowl for the first time in the 18th over when the heat was on and Kieron Pollard was trying to blast the ball into the orbit. Gambhir compounded that mistake by giving Andrew McDonald the final over. He could have easily bowled Ladda in the middle overs and saved Sangwan for the end, thus saving himself the choice of feeding a rampaging Pollard with the perfect dose of McDonald’s military medium. If he was so sure that the pitch will turn and his squad needed an extra leggie, then why didn’t he bowl him when the time was right. He didn’t have the confidence to bowl either of his leggies in the last over, after picking two of them, and had finished the overs of his quicker men. How’s that for astute captaincy.
When Delhi batted their explosive start created the perfect platform for Gambhir to guide his side to victory. Their asking run rate after the power play was 8.21 and there was absolutely no pressure on Gambhir to take any kind of risk. Instead, Gambhir tried to jump out and confuse Harbhajan and got beaten himself. His dismissal sparked another batting collapse and Delhi were humbled in a match where they had dominated the early part of both innings.
It is unclear whether Gambhir’s batting is suffering from the strains of captaincy or whether his poor form is affecting his captaincy. Whatever it is, he doesn’t look comfortable in the hot seat. And his post match comments are just making him look worse. Delhi still have a good chance of making the semis with their net run rate being the third best among the 5 teams having 12 points each. But to make the last four, they will need their captain to step up to the plate. Gautam Gambhir could make a good start by first forgetting about making excuses.
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Tagged as Andrew McDonald, Captain, Ferozshah Kotla, Gautam Gambhir, IPL3, Kieron Pollard, Match Comments, Mumbai Indians, Saurabh Ladda